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1 Political Chart

I wanted to share this chart with the election coming up. Personally I think the election is a coin flip, and the uncertainty is stressful and bad for markets. But I thought this was interesting, below is a chart of the Probability of a Trump Victory in November. The probability is on the left, or y-axis, the x-axis denotes the days left until the election. The comparison is between last election in 2016 and this election. It could be nothing, but I don't trust the polls and believe that the race will be far closer than we are led to believe.


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